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Tools and Techniques

This table summarises some of the Safety Assessment Tools and Techniques available to the safety assessor. Each of these tools has its own advantages and disadvantages and the extent to which these can be used during various phases of the product lifecycle, and the degree to which they can be applied to safety assessments, vary. For a list of Advantages and Limitations of each, see Appendix A to Aircraft System Safety: Military and Civil Aeronautical Applications.
 
It is extremely important to note that as the complexity of the tool increases so does the degree of training required for the user and/or the need for an experienced evaluation team to conduct the evaluation. On the plus side, the data derived from the more complex methodologies may be more supportable. Unfortunately, the primary disadvantage of such tools is that "trained subject matter experts" may have limited experience in the actual operational environment and, therefore, their evaluations may not be entirely applicable to the certification process.

Name:  Description:   
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Accident Analysis
Description:
The purpose of the Accident Analysis is to evaluate the effect of scenarios that develop into credible and incredible accidents. Any accident or incident should be formally investigated to determine the contributors of the unplanned event. Many methods and techniques are applied.
Accident Sequence Evaluation Programme (ASEP)
Description:
This tool is based on the Technique for Human Error Rate Prediction (Swain and Guttman, 1983). ASEP comprises pre-accident screening with nominal human reliability analysis, and post-accident screening and nominal human reliability analysis facilities [Swain, 1987; Kirwan, 1994].
Action Error Analysis
Description:
Action Error Analysis analyzes interactions between machine and humans. It is used to study the consequences of potential human errors in task execution related to directing automated functions.

Any automated interface between a human and automated process can be evaluated, such as pilot / cockpit controls, or controller / display, maintainer / equipment interactions.
ATLAS
Description:
ATLAS is a software package for use in support of systems design and analysis work. it combines the elements of graphically-based task analysis with the advantages of a database. ATLAS supports a variety of conventional task analysis methods and incorporates more than 60 human performance, workload, and human reliability algorithms. [Hamilton, 1997]
Barrier Analysis
Description:
Any system is comprised of energy, should this energy become uncontrolled accidents can result. Barrier Analysis method is implemented by identifying energy flow(s) that may be hazardous and then identifying or developing the barriers that must be in place to prevent the unwanted energy flow form damaging equipment, and/or causing system damage.

Barrier Analysis is an appropriate qualitative tool for systems analysis, safety reviews, and accident analysis. [FAA System Safety Handbook, Chapter 9: Analysis Techniques December 30, 2000]
Bayesian Belief Networks
Description:

A BBN is a graphical network that represents probabilistic relationships among events in a network structure.

With BBNs, it is possible to articulate expert beliefs about the dependencies between different variables and to propagate consistently the impact of evidence on the probabilities of uncertain outcomes, such as 'future system reliability' [Falla, Ch4]

The BBN on the left uses comparatively little evidence, depending only on the observed reliabilities and defect counts of previous products of the same process, and on the defects discovered in the current product during debugging. The topology of the graph is used to indicate probabilistic relationships among the variables described in the nodes. The BBN on the right includes subjective indicators, like problem complexity and design effort. Thus, this network is meant to be populated with probabilities that are not all derived from statistical inference, but at least in part from expert opinion.

BBNs are also sometimes called Causal Probabilistic Networks, Probabilistic Cause-Effect Models or Probabilistic Influence Diagrams

See Agena
See Modist

Bayesian Belief Networks

Bedford Scale
Description:
Human Factors evaluative tool
Bellcore TR332 (now Telcordia)
Description:

The Bellcore approach is widely used in the telecommunications industry and has been updated to SR-332 (in May 2001). Bellcore's approach is very similar to that of MIL-HDBK-217 but it's based primarily on telecommunications data and covers five separate use environments. The approach also assumes an exponential failure distribution and calculates reliability in terms of failures per billion part operating hours, or FITs. Its empirically based models are in three categories: the Method I parts count approach that applies when there is no field failure data available, the Method II modification to Method I to include lab test data and the Method III variation that includes field failure tracking.

  • Method I includes a first year modifier to account for infant mortality.
  • Method II includes a Bayes weighting procedure that covers three approaches depending on the level of previous burn-in the part or unit has undergone.
  • Method III includes a Bayes weighting procedure as well but it is based on three different cases depending on how similar the equipment is to that from which the data was collected.

For the most widely used Method I case where the burn-in varies, the steady-state failure rate depends on the basic part steady-state failure rate and the quality, electrical stress and temperature factors as follows:

Benefits Analysis
Description:

An assessment (either qualitative and/or quantitative) used to determine the potential benefits to be derived from following (or not following) a particular course of action.

See Cost Benefits Analysis.

Bent Pin Analysis
Description:
Connector shorts can cause system malfunctions, anomalous operations, and other risks. Bent Pin Analysis evaluates the effects should connectors short as a result of bent pins and mating or demating of connectors. Any connector has the potential for bent pins to occur. [FAA System Safety Handbook, Chapter 9: Analysis Techniques December 30, 2000]
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